Diagnostic algorithms for cervical infection based on clinical signs and symptoms and/or on behavioral
characteristics have been tested in several developing countries, mainly in pregnant women and in high-risk
groups. Clinical algorithms as well as non-hierarchical scoring systems have been tested by several groups
in Africa. Most authors conclude that scoring systems that include risk markers as well as signs and
symptoms may be affordable alternative methods of screening for gonococcal and/or chlamydial infections
among women in resource-poor settings. Table 1 shows which of the risk factors were found to be
significant. The positive predictive values of the different algorithms are low but negative predictive values
are all above 90 percent, which is an acceptable level of accuracy (Table
2). These scoring systems need
further evaluation in terms of validity and feasibility in different settings (Vuylsteke et al 1993).
Table 1. Predictors of STDs: Example from Kinshasa,
Zaire
|
Factors
Found
Significant |
Factors
Found Not Significant |
|
| Risk determination |
Age < 25
Single status
>1 sex partner in last year |
Age > 25
Never having used a condom |
| Symptoms |
Vaginal discharge
Vaginal itch |
Dysuria
Lower abdominal pain |
| Signs |
Vaginal discharge
Cervical motion tenderness |
Malodor
Endocervical mucopus
Cervical erosion
Cervical friability |
| Results of simple tests
and microscopy |
LED test on urine ~500
PMNs/µL
Positive swab test
Leukocytes > 10/hpf on vaginal smear
Leukocytes > 10/hpf on cervical smear
gram-negative diplococci: intracellular or extracellular |
|
|
Table 2. Performance of Different Scoring Systems in
Mwanza
| Scoring System |
Sensitivity |
Specificity |
Positive Predictive
Value |
Negative Predictive
Value |
Correct Treatment
Rate |
Over-
treatment Rate |
|
| WHO |
62% |
65% |
18% |
89% |
64% |
36% |
| Kinshasa |
89% |
50% |
19% |
97% |
54% |
50% |
| Mwanza |
69% |
52% |
16% |
93% |
54% |
48% |
|
The Mwanza R2 Simple Algorithm on Risk Assessment uses the following markers as predictors of disease:
age less than 25, unmarried status, polygamous marriage, having any previous child, having previous child
born more than 5 years ago, and having more than one sex partner in the past year. If any three items are
found, the client is considered positive for gonorrhea and chlamydia. When the algorithm was applied to data
from Kenya (see below), sensitivity was found to be 48 percent, specificity was 57 percent and the positive
predictive value was 12 percent. When applied to data from Mwanza, sensitivity was 69 percent, specificity
was 54 percent and the positive predictive value was 12 percent.
The “Supermarket Model” for women’s reproductive health was a demonstration intervention project carried
out in 1994 in Nairobi, Kenya. Its objectives were to measure the burden of STDs, HIV and cervical dysplasia
in clients at a family planning clinic and to determine priorities for reproductive health interventions. Clients
at the Ribiero Clinic were randomly selected for inclusion in the project. Baseline data were collected from
them, and they received information and counseling, a gynecological examination, blood tests for STDs and
cervical cytology. Twenty-four percent of the clients used IUDs.
Screening a group of family planning clients from the “Supermarket Model” project for STDs by history and
laboratory investigation revealed the findings shown in Table 3.
Table
3. Results of Screening for Sexually Transmitted Diseases
| STD History |
N (%) |
STD Detection |
N (%) |
|
| Vaginal discharge |
178 (34) |
Chlamydia |
20 (4) |
| Genital ulcers |
51 (10) |
Gonorrhea (cult.) |
11 (2) |
| Genital warts |
15 (3) |
Syphilis |
11 (2) |
| PID |
22 (4) |
Warts (clinical) |
6 (1) |
| Ophth. neonatorum |
17 (3) |
GUD (RPR negative) |
6 (1) |
|
The WHO algorithm and the Zaire scoring system were applied to the “Supermarket” model data
(Table 4).
Table 4. Comparison of WHO Algorithm and Zaire Scoring System Applied to the
Kenya "Supermarket" Data
|
Sensitivity |
Specificity |
Positive Predictive
Value |
|
| WHO Algorithm |
50% |
79% |
23% |
| Zaire Scoring System |
19% |
75% |
10% |
|
When the WHO algorithm was applied to pregnant women in Nairobi, sensitivity was 50 percent, specificity was
79 percent and the positive predictive value was 23 percent. When the Kinshasa scoring system was applied to
the same women, sensitivity was 19 percent, specificity was 75 percent and the positive predictive value was 10
percent.
In general, the relatively simple WHO algorithm was found to be a better predictor of disease than the more
complex Kinshasa scoring system. Neither method of predicting disease, however, was found to have high levels
of sensitivity and specificity.
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