The first epidemiological evidence implicating use
of combined oral contraceptives with an increased risk of venous
thromboembolism (blood clots in veins) appeared in 1967. All of the
studies conducted since then have found that current users of combined
oral contraceptives have a higher risk of venous thromboembolic disease
than women not using oral contraceptives. In most studies the relative
risks were statistically significant.
The consistency of the findings, the size of the relative
risks, and the lack of plausible explanation in terms of bias, confounding
or chance, strongly suggest a causal relationship between current use of
combined oral contraceptives and venous thromboembolic disease. The
absolute risk, however, remains very low.
Earlier studies of use of oral contraception and venous
thromboembolism found little change in risk with increasing duration of
use. The WHO study (1) showed little evidence overall of an
appreciable change in risk with duration of use, although the size of the
relative risk diminished slightly during the first few years. A comparison
between women who had used combined oral contraceptives for the first time
and those who had never used them in the Transnational Study indicated a
10-fold increased risk during the first year of use which fell to a
twofold increase in subsequent years. Past users of combined oral
contraceptives are not at greater risk of venous thromboembolic disease
than women who have never used them. The risk among current users falls to
that among non-users within 3 months of stopping oral contraceptives.
The relative risk of venous thromboembolism associated
with current use of oral contraceptives does not appear to vary with age.
The incidence of venous thromboembolic disease, however, rises with age.
This means that the absolute risk of venous thromboembolic disease
attributable to oral contraception is higher in older than in younger
women. In the WHO study (1), oral contraceptive users who were
obese had a higher relative risk than did users who were not obese in both
developing and developed countries.
Recent studies have shown that women with hereditary
clotting defects are at a much higher risk of venous thromboembolism if
they use oral contraceptives (2). Current users of oral
contraceptives with factor V Leiden mutation had a relative risk of deep
vein thrombosis of 35 compared with non-users without this mutation. Even
with such a high relative risk, however, the absolute risk was still low:
around three additional cases of venous thromboembolism per year per 1000
users with factor V Leiden mutation compared with users without this
defect.
Early studies suggested that reduction in the estrogen
content of combined oral contraceptives might lower the risk of deep vein
thrombosis and pulmonary embolism; however, the evidence was not entirely
consistent. There is no convincing evidence that the risks have declined
substantially over time, or with reductions in estrogen content. The
influence of the progestogen component of combined oral contraceptives on
the risk of venous thromboembolism has, until recently, received
comparatively little attention.
Since the end of 1995, four studies ( 3, 4, 5, 6)
have reported that users of low-dose (<50 µg of estrogen) combined
oral contraceptives containing desogestrel or gestodene have a higher risk
of venous thromboembolic disease than users of low-dose contraceptives
containing levonorgestrel. Comparison between results has been complicated
by the use of different reference groups. The only published study which
has reported on the risks of venous thromboembolic disease associated with
the use of progestogen-only pills compared these preparations with
combined oral contraceptives containing levonorgestrel. The estimated
relative risk was 1.3.
The Scientific Group concluded that:
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Current users of combined oral contraceptives have a
low absolute risk of venous thromboembolism, which is nonetheless
3–6 times that in non-users. The risk is probably highest in the
first year of use and declines thereafter, but persists until
discontinuation.
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After use of combined oral contraceptives is
discontinued, the risk of venous thromboembolism drops rapidly to that
in non-users.
-
Among users of combined oral contraceptive
preparations containing less than 50 µg of ethinylestradiol, the risk
of venous thromboembolism is not related to the dose of estrogen.
-
Combined oral contraceptives containing desogestrel or
gestodene probably carry a small risk of venous thromboembolism beyond
that attributable to combined oral contraceptives containing
levonorgestrel. There are insufficient data to draw conclusions with
regard to combined oral contraceptives containing norgestimate.
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The absolute risks of venous thromboembolism
attributable to use of oral contraceptives rise with increasing age,
obesity, recent surgery, and some forms of thrombophilia. The effects
of other risk factors for venous thromboembolism have not been
quantified in users of combined oral contraceptives.
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Cigarette smoking and raised blood pressure, which are
important risk factors for arterial disease, do not appear to elevate
the risk of venous thromboembolic disease.
-
There are insufficient data to conclude whether there
is a relation between venous thromboembolism and the use of
progestogen-only contraceptives.
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The relative risks of venous thromboembolic disease
observed in users of combined oral contraceptives in developed
countries appear to be applicable to developing countries.
References
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WHO Collaborative Study of
Cardiovascular Disease and Steroid Hormone Contraception. Venous
thromboemolic disease and combined oral contraceptives: results of an
international multicentre case–control study. Lancet, 1995,
346:1575–1582.
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Vandenbroucke JP et al. Increased risk
of venous thrombosis in oral contraceptive users who are carriers of V
Leiden mutation. Lancet, 1994, 344:1453–1457.
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Spitzer WO et al. Third generation oral
contraceptives and risk of venous thromboembolic disorders: an
international case–control study. British medical journal,
1996, 312:83–88.
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Lewis MA et al. The increased risk of
venous thromboembolism and the use of third-generation progestogens:
role of bias in observational research. Contraception, 1996,
54:5–13.
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WHO Collaborative Study of
Cardiovascular Disease and Steroid Hormone Contraception. Effects of
different progestogens in low-oestrogen oral contraceptives on venous
thromboembolic disease. Lancet, 1995, 346:1582–1588.
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Jick H et al. Risk of idiopathic
cardiovascular death and nonfatal venous thromboembolism in women
using oral contraceptiveswith differing progestogen components. Lancet,
1995, 346:1589–1593.